Geopolitics Alpha

Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, EWW, WMT, AMZN
  • Market reaction: XRT −1.7% on the day; XLI −0.6% on the day; DE −1.8% on the day

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHATrump’s Mexico Tariff ThreatSpooked Consumer StocksGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about tariffs and trade and Mexico.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.4% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • EWW iShares MSCI Mexico ETF+0.8% 6d

    iShares MSCI Mexico ETF holds stocks listed in Mexico, which this story is about (“mexico”).

  • WMT Walmart+19.7% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • AMZN Amazon.com+7.2% 30d

    Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-27.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+18.8% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • DE Deere+0.7% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-4.94%-1.22%base-0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-1.37%+0.47%base-1.72%after closeafter closeafter close
EWW-2.12%-0.23%base-0.14%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT+1.59%-0.08%base+0.18%after closeafter closeafter close
AMZN-2.10%+0.26%base+0.46%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT-8.01%-0.49%base+0.72%after closeafter closeafter close
COST-1.92%-1.90%base+0.51%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-4.00%-0.02%base-1.79%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks Finimize

Source: Finimize

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amazon Com (AMZN)that day+0.46%final price
Amazon Com (AMZN)three days earlier+0.26%final price
Amazon Com (AMZN)five days earlier-2.10%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+0.72%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.49%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier-8.01%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day+0.51%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-1.90%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-1.92%final price
Deere (DE)that day-1.79%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier-0.02%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-4.00%final price
Ishares (EWW)that day-0.14%final price
Ishares (EWW)three days earlier-0.23%final price
Ishares (EWW)five days earlier-2.12%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+0.18%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-0.08%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+1.59%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-1.22%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-4.94%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day-1.72%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier+0.47%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-1.37%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies tied to this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    For “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • EWW Ishares

    In “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Ishares (EWW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Mexico ETF holds stocks listed in Mexico, which this story is about (“mexico”)

  • WMT Walmart

    For “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • AMZN Amazon Com

    For “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    In “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    In “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • DE Deere

    Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is the company in “Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks,” the 12 Nov 2026 this story story.

The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

EWW traded between 71.23 and 73.53 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 73.26. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“Trump’s Mexico Tariff Threat Spooked Consumer Stocks” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.