USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
- Week 45 USDA grain barge data shows Twin Cities leading downbound tariffs at 746, with per-ton rates from 46.20 on the upper river to 10.60 on the Lower Mississippi and forward curves easing for month 12 and month 2.
- Exposed: XLI, XRT, DBA, CAT, DE
- Market reaction: XRT −1.7% on the day; XLI −0.6% on the day; DE −1.8% on the day
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Week 45 USDA grain barge data shows Twin Cities leading downbound tariffs at 746, with per-ton rates from 46.20 on the upper river to 10.60 on the Lower Mississippi and forward curves easing for month 12 and month 2.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.4% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DBA Invesco DB Agriculture Fund-6.1% 30d
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund: it follows farm commodity prices. Linked by “grain” (grains and farm goods) in this story.
- CAT Caterpillar-27.2% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere+0.7% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+19.7% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- NKE Nike+5.4% 30d
Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland-10.8% 30d
Archer-Daniels-Midland (fats and oils): crop traders and farm suppliers move with grain prices and trade. Linked by “grain” (grains and farm goods) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLI | -4.94% | -1.22% | base | -0.56% | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | -1.37% | +0.47% | base | -1.72% | after close | after close | after close |
| DBA | -0.74% | -1.01% | base | -0.21% | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | -8.01% | -0.49% | base | +0.72% | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -4.00% | -0.02% | base | -1.79% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | +1.59% | -0.08% | base | +0.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| NKE | +3.21% | +4.04% | base | -1.59% | after close | after close | after close |
| ADM | -0.58% | -1.51% | base | +0.07% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics IndexBox
Source: IndexBox
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) | that day | +0.07% | final price |
| Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) | three days earlier | -1.51% | final price |
| Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) | five days earlier | -0.58% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | that day | +0.72% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | three days earlier | -0.49% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | five days earlier | -8.01% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | that day | -0.21% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | three days earlier | -1.01% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | five days earlier | -0.74% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | that day | -1.79% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | three days earlier | -0.02% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | five days earlier | -4.00% | final price |
| NKE | that day | -1.59% | final price |
| NKE | three days earlier | +4.04% | final price |
| NKE | five days earlier | +3.21% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | that day | +0.18% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | -0.08% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +1.59% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | that day | -0.56% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | three days earlier | -1.22% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | five days earlier | -4.94% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | that day | -1.72% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | +0.47% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | -1.37% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 7 Oct 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 76 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Nike (NKE), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 83 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
Companies carried with this story
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
For “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
In “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco DB Agriculture Fund: it follows farm commodity prices. Linked by “grain” (grains and farm goods) in this story
- CAT Caterpillar
In “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics.” Reason on file: Archer-Daniels-Midland (fats and oils): crop traders and farm suppliers move with grain prices and trade. Linked by “grain” (grains and farm goods) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- BG Bunge Global
In “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics,” Bunge Global (BG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bunge Global (fats and oils): crop traders and farm suppliers move with grain prices and trade. Linked by “grain” (grains and farm goods) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
On 12 Nov 2026, “USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.
The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story
DBA traded between 26.80 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 26.80. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.
What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“USDA Grain Barge Rates Week 45: Mississippi Tariffs, Per-Ton Rates & Forward Curves - News and Statistics” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.