Geopolitics Alpha

Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, GLD, TIP, XOM
  • Market reaction: USO +0.7% on the day (still updating); XLE −0.1% on the day (still updating); AEM −1.8% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYGold Climbs as Oil Slump EasesInflation FearsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and gold. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.7% 30d

    SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • NEM Newmont-14.3% 30d

    Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • AEM Agnico Eagle Mines-7.6% 30d

    Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%base+0.72%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.11%after closeafter closeafter close
GLD+2.96%+1.94%base-0.49%after closeafter closeafter close
TIP-0.07%+0.06%base-0.22%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-0.60%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
NEM+3.24%+2.46%base-1.74%after closeafter closeafter close
AEM+6.04%+3.07%base-1.79%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears TradingView

Source: TradingView

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)that day-1.79%still updating
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)three days earlier+3.07%final price
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)five days earlier+6.04%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.56%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)that day-0.49%still updating
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)three days earlier+1.94%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)five days earlier+2.96%final price
Newmont (NEM)that day-1.74%still updating
Newmont (NEM)three days earlier+2.46%final price
Newmont (NEM)five days earlier+3.24%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.22%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.06%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier-0.07%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+0.72%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.11%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.60%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears”

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    In “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears” (3 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

GLD traded between 373.41 and 400.78 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Gold Climbs as Oil Slump Eases Inflation Fears” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.