Geopolitics Alpha

Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows

Published . Updated .

Covered by 4 outlets: The Mighty 790 KFGO, WHTC, Reuters, Central Oregon Daily.

Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 3. How we rate outlets

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, ITA, BWET, XOM
  • Market reaction: XLE −0.4% on the day (still updating); USO −0.0% on the day (still updating); BWET −8.1% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYGulf oil flows dip in October frompost-Iran war high, data showsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and defense. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “gulf” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%base-0.01%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.36%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-3.96%-0.11%base+0.61%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%base-8.08%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-1.00%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-0.75%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%base-1.56%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%base-0.96%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows The Mighty 790 KFGO

Source: The Mighty 790 KFGO

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-8.08%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.56%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.75%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day+0.61%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.11%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-3.96%final price
SHELthat day-0.96%still updating
SHELthree days earlier+2.59%final price
SHELfive days earlier-0.17%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-0.01%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.36%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-1.00%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    For “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “gulf” (tanker shipping) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 3 Nov 2026, “Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.70. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

69 out of 100Price not final

“Gulf oil flows dip in October from post-Iran war high, data shows” scores 69 out of 100. The score uses 4 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.