Geopolitics Alpha

Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, CRAK, BWET, XOM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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ENERGY · BLACK SEALatest aframax cargo cements BlackSea refiner's break with RussianoilGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and refining.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “aframax” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+1.1% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+9.5% 10d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CRAK+1.98%+0.61%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VLO+1.54%+0.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MPC+1.26%+0.47%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil TradeWinds News

Source: TradeWinds News

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 8 energy shocks

In the last 8 similar stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) moved an average of -2.44% the next day. The best was +1.30% and the worst was -3.69%, from 8 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-2.44%+1.30%-3.69%8
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-1.37%-1.37%-1.37%6
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-0.57%+2.25%-1.51%8
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.87%-0.87%-0.87%6
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+0.69%+4.09%+0.12%7
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later+4.59%+4.59%+4.59%6

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)three days earlier+0.61%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)five days earlier+1.98%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)three days earlier+0.47%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)five days earlier+1.26%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)three days earlier+0.86%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)five days earlier+1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Black Sea, seven days against thirty

Black Sea

Geopolitics Alpha has 11 stories about Black Sea from the past 7 days and 52 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil” is tagged to Black Sea.

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil.” Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “aframax” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil.” Reason on file: Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil” (3 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Black Sea.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Latest aframax cargo cements Black Sea refiner's break with Russian oil” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.