Geopolitics Alpha

Lifting Sanctions Against Russia Must Be Tied To Ending The War, Security Guarantees, And Ukraine’s Reconstruction, Not Just To Holding Talks — Zelenskyy

Published . Updated .

DEFENSELifting Sanctions Against RussiaMust Be Tied To Ending The War,Security Guarantees, And Ukraine’…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about defense and oil.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-7.5% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+2.7% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-9.2% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.8% 12d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story.

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+19.1% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • RTX Rtx+1.1% 7d

    Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+7.8% 30d

    Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA+2.64%+1.68%base+2.24%+2.32%after closeafter close
XARNo price data for this ticker———————
USO-5.13%-5.78%base-1.59%-2.57%after closeafter close
UNGNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.72%-2.80%base+0.41%+0.28%after closeafter close
LMT-9.31%-8.71%base+5.08%+4.29%after closeafter close
RTX+0.57%+0.33%base+2.76%+3.35%after closeafter close
NOC-7.45%-2.17%base+2.37%+2.19%after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Lifting Sanctions Against Russia Must Be Tied To Ending The War, Security Guarantees, And Ukraine’s Reconstruction, Not Just To Holding Talks — Zelenskyy uatv.ua

Source: uatv.ua

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ITAthat day+2.24%final price
ITAthe next day+2.32%still updating
ITAthree days earlier+1.68%final price
ITAfive days earlier+2.64%final price
LMTthat day+5.08%final price
LMTthe next day+4.29%still updating
LMTthree days earlier-8.71%final price
LMTfive days earlier-9.31%final price
NOCthat day+2.37%final price
NOCthe next day+2.19%still updating
NOCthree days earlier-2.17%final price
NOCfive days earlier-7.45%final price
RTXthat day+2.76%final price
RTXthe next day+3.35%still updating
RTXthree days earlier+0.33%final price
RTXfive days earlier+0.57%final price
USOthat day-1.59%final price
USOthe next day-2.57%still updating
USOthree days earlier-5.78%final price
USOfive days earlier-5.13%final price
XOMthat day+0.41%final price
XOMthe next day+0.28%still updating
XOMthree days earlier-2.80%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.72%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100Price not final

“Lifting Sanctions Against Russia Must Be Tied To Ending The War, Security Guarantees, And Ukraine’s Reconstruction, Not Just To Holding Talks — Zelenskyy” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.