Geopolitics Alpha

LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Strait of Hormuz LNG cargoes hit their highest monthly total since the US-Iran war began in February, with 19 to 21 tankers exiting in September -- still only one-fifth of pre-war levels.
  • Exposed: UNG, XLE, USO, BWET, VGK
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed

Strait of Hormuz LNG cargoes hit their highest monthly total since the US-Iran war began in February, with 19 to 21 tankers exiting in September -- still only one-fifth of pre-war levels. European

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-13.5% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “hormuz” (oil) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”).

  • FRO Frontline+1.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight, with business in Europe): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
UNG-3.53%-0.64%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.08%+5.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.62%-2.06%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGK+0.86%+3.36%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FRO+14.63%+6.76%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHT+15.43%+6.67%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TNK+11.16%+3.34%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed CGEP

Source: CGEP

Earlier energy stories for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG): 14 cases

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-4.71%-4.71%-4.71%2
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-11.35%-11.35%-11.35%2
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-6.32%-6.32%-6.32%11
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-12.25%-12.25%-12.25%11
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-10.37%-10.37%-10.37%14
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-28.03%-28.03%-28.03%14

Price since this story was published: United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+5.02%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.08%final price
DHTthree days earlier+6.67%final price
DHTfive days earlier+15.43%final price
FROthree days earlier+6.76%final price
FROfive days earlier+14.63%final price
TNKthree days earlier+3.34%final price
TNKfive days earlier+11.16%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-0.64%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-3.53%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)three days earlier+3.36%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)five days earlier+0.86%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price

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Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Strait of Hormuz on the map for this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 174 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 641 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who loses around United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed.” Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “lng” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “lng” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    In “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”)

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    For “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” Cheniere Energy (LNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    For “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • KMI Kinder Morgan

    In “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed,” Kinder Morgan (KMI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Kinder Morgan (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) and the energy link

On 9 Nov 2026, “LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed” is the story that connects United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) to Strait of Hormuz.

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is on the page because United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Price levels for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.34. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How strong the case is around United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

46 out of 100

“LNG Cargoes Through Hormuz Hit Wartime Record, but 80% Gap Leaves Europe Exposed” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.