Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance
Published . Updated .
This report is about banks.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.8% 30d
Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF-4.5% 30d
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-12.5% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-2.8% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- WFC Wells Fargo-3.6% 30d
Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- C Citigroup-6.4% 30d
Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLFNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KRENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BACNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WFCNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance The Nightly
Source: The Nightly
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Wells Fargo (WFC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Wells Fargo (WFC) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Wells Fargo (WFC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Citigroup (C), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Citigroup (C) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)
Companies carried with this story
- XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- KRE Spdr Series Trust
For “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance,” Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
For “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- WFC Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo (WFC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance.” Reason on file: Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- C Citigroup
Citigroup (C) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance.” Reason on file: Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
How “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)
The 30 Oct 2026 story “Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) because of this story.
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is on the page because Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF), and the dates in the story
BAC traded between 49.26 and 54.92 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 50.88. KRE traded between 67.80 and 71.93 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.61. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.
How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)
46 out of 100
“Major bank rates Aussie recession as a 50:50 chance” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.