National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward
Published . Updated .
This report is about banks.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.8% 30d
Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF-4.5% 30d
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-12.5% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-2.8% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- WFC Wells Fargo-3.6% 30d
Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- C Citigroup-6.4% 30d
Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLF | -1.81% | -1.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| KRE | -0.58% | -0.42% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -1.15% | -0.92% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | -3.51% | -2.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WFC | -2.86% | -2.52% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| C | -4.05% | -2.45% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward Ukrinform
Source: Ukrinform
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) since “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward,” compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -1.15% | final price |
| Citigroup (C) | three days earlier | -2.45% | final price |
| Citigroup (C) | five days earlier | -4.05% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | -2.27% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | -3.51% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (KRE) | three days earlier | -0.42% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (KRE) | five days earlier | -0.58% | final price |
| Wells Fargo (WFC) | three days earlier | -2.52% | final price |
| Wells Fargo (WFC) | five days earlier | -2.86% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) | three days earlier | -1.85% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) | five days earlier | -1.81% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Wells Fargo (WFC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Wells Fargo (WFC) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Wells Fargo (WFC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Citigroup (C), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Citigroup (C) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who is named in “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward”
Companies carried with this story
- XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward.” Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- KRE Spdr Series Trust
In “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward,” Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- WFC Wells Fargo
In “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward,” Wells Fargo (WFC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
- C Citigroup
For “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward,” Citigroup (C) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
How “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)
The 30 Oct 2026 story “National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) because of this story.
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is on the page because Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (KRE): SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story
Dates and price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)
BAC traded between 49.26 and 54.92 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 50.88. KRE traded between 67.80 and 71.93 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.61. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.
How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)
54 out of 100
“National Bank revises 2026 real GDP forecast downward” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 6 linked companies.