Geopolitics Alpha

MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Q3 delivered 2.4% sales growth, 15.4% adjusted EBITDA growth and CAD 175 million free cash flow.
  • Exposed: TIP, XLP, WMT, COST, PG
  • Market reaction: XLP +3.5% on the day (still updating); TIP 0.0% on the day (still updating); WMT +4.5% on the day (still updating)

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance

Q3 delivered 2.4% sales growth, 15.4% adjusted EBITDA growth and CAD 175 million free cash flow. Higher input inflation and promotional costs lowered FY2026 EBITDA expectations to around the prior range’s bottom, while mid-single-digit revenue growth remains expected.Based on

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.1% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-2.8% 14d

    Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+12.7% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • PG The Procter & Gamble+9.2% 30d

    The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • KO The Coca-Cola+7.6% 30d

    The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TIP+0.16%+0.57%base+0.00%after closeafter closeafter close
XLP-2.35%+0.52%base+3.55%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-4.79%-1.04%base+4.51%after closeafter closeafter close
COST-3.61%-0.67%base+3.14%after closeafter closeafter close
PG-2.31%-0.30%base+3.14%after closeafter closeafter close
KO-3.14%-0.70%base+1.25%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance TradingView

Source: TradingView

How far Ishares Tr (TIP) has moved since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day+3.14%still updating
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-0.67%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-3.61%final price
Coca Cola (KO)that day+1.25%still updating
Coca Cola (KO)three days earlier-0.70%final price
Coca Cola (KO)five days earlier-3.14%final price
Procter & Gamble (PG)that day+3.14%still updating
Procter & Gamble (PG)three days earlier-0.30%final price
Procter & Gamble (PG)five days earlier-2.31%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day0.00%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.57%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.16%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+4.51%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.04%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)that day+3.55%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)three days earlier+0.52%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)five days earlier-2.35%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TIP)

Companies tied to this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    In “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • KO Coca Cola

    For “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance,” Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Ishares Tr (TIP)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance” names Ishares Tr (TIP) because of this story.

Ishares Tr (TIP) is on the page because iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP): Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

The price range for Ishares Tr (TIP), and the dates in the story

TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. WMT traded between 107.44 and 127.91 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 124.81. XLP traded between 80.10 and 83.07 across 11 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TIP)

46 out of 100Price not final

“MFI: Strong Q3 growth and cash flow offset by inflation-driven pressure on FY EBITDA guidance” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.