Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
This report is about oil and defense.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “ceasefire” (defense) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- QAT iShares MSCI Qatar ETF
iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“doha”).
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- OXY Occidental Petroleum-1.2% 19d
Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +4.37% | +7.30% | base | +0.28% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +1.44% | +2.16% | base | -0.19% | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -3.96% | -0.11% | base | +1.10% | after close | after close | after close |
| BWET | -1.54% | +2.86% | base | -8.08% | after close | after close | after close |
| QAT | -4.03% | -4.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +0.06% | +1.89% | base | -0.88% | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +0.19% | +1.58% | base | -0.75% | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | +3.32% | +3.76% | base | -0.13% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Quantisnow
Source: Quantisnow
The price since 3 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | that day | -8.08% | still updating |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | three days earlier | +2.86% | final price |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | that day | -0.75% | still updating |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +1.58% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +0.19% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | that day | +1.10% | still updating |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -0.11% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -3.96% | final price |
| OXY | that day | -0.13% | still updating |
| OXY | three days earlier | +3.76% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | +3.32% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (QAT) | three days earlier | -4.06% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (QAT) | five days earlier | -4.03% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | +0.28% | still updating |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.30% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +4.37% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | that day | -0.19% | still updating |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +2.16% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +1.44% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | that day | -0.88% | still updating |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +1.89% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 20 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 20 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story
Companies tied to this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “ceasefire” (defense) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
For “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
In “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story
- QAT Ishares Tr
In “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire,” Ishares Tr (QAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“doha”)
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
On 3 Nov 2026, “Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.70. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.
What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100Price not final
“Oil Looks to Doha and Washington for Signs of a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.