Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and tanker shipping.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- FRO Frontline+14.2% 30d
Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- DHT DHT Holdings
DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -1.54% | -1.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -0.51% | -2.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.45% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -1.54% | -2.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| FRO | -2.94% | -2.39% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DHT | -1.70% | -2.24% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening Arabian Gulf Business Insight | AGBI
17 earlier Strait of Hormuz stories for United States Oil Fund (USO)
Across 17 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged -3.69%. The largest gain was -3.69% and the largest drop was -3.69%, from 17 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | the next day | -3.69% | -3.69% | -3.69% | 17 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days later | -1.37% | -1.37% | -1.37% | 17 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | the next day | -1.51% | -1.51% | -1.51% | 17 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days later | -0.87% | -0.87% | -0.87% | 17 |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | the next day | -1.64% | -1.64% | -1.64% | 17 |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days later | -0.44% | -0.44% | -0.44% | 17 |
- Two 'unauthorised' oil tankers struck in Strait of Hormuz, Iran says
- UAE Reports Oil Spill Reaching Umm Al Quwain Beaches After Tanker Attack Near Strait of Hormuz
- Iran escalates Strait of Hormuz shipping attacks with new tactics aimed at keeping global oil prices high before US midterm elections
- Two supertankers hit mines near Strait of Hormuz: IRGC
- Iran reports tanker blasts in Hormuz as Trump hints at renewed strikes
- Iran threatens tankers in Hormuz with destruction as oil and stocks swing wildly
United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 2 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | -2.69% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| DHT | three days earlier | -2.24% | final price |
| DHT | five days earlier | -1.70% | final price |
| Frontline (FRO) | three days earlier | -2.39% | final price |
| Frontline (FRO) | five days earlier | -2.94% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -1.29% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | -2.20% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | -0.51% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | -1.45% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 19 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 19 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Strait of Hormuz, seven days against thirty
Geopolitics Alpha has 177 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 468 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.
Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies mentioned with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
In “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
For “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
For “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- FRO Frontline
Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening.” Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
How “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening,” the 2 Nov 2026 Strait of Hormuz story.
The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.
The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Oil retreats as diplomacy raises hopes for Hormuz reopening” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.