Geopolitics Alpha

Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: IAI, CME, ICE, CBOE, NDAQ
  • Market reaction: IAI +0.3% on the day (still updating); CME −0.2% on the day (still updating); CBOE −1.3% on the day (still updating)

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAOptions traders are bettingheavily on these stocks ahead ofelection resultsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about exchanges and trading.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IAI iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF

    iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story.

  • CME CME Group+3.7% 10d

    CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story.

  • ICE Intercontinental Exchange+12.6% 30d

    Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story.

  • CBOE Cboe Global Markets+29.3% 30d

    Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story.

  • NDAQ Nasdaq+15.0% 30d

    Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
IAI-0.66%+0.27%base+0.29%after closeafter closeafter close
CME-4.18%-3.22%base-0.16%after closeafter closeafter close
ICE-9.80%-5.40%base-0.43%after closeafter closeafter close
CBOE-7.08%-10.30%base-1.30%after closeafter closeafter close
NDAQ-3.96%-2.85%base-0.55%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results CNBC

Source: CNBC

Ishares Tr (IAI) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)that day-1.30%still updating
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)three days earlier-10.30%final price
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)five days earlier-7.08%final price
Cme Group (CME)that day-0.16%still updating
Cme Group (CME)three days earlier-3.22%final price
Cme Group (CME)five days earlier-4.18%final price
Ishares Tr (IAI)that day+0.29%still updating
Ishares Tr (IAI)three days earlier+0.27%final price
Ishares Tr (IAI)five days earlier-0.66%final price
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)that day-0.43%still updating
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)three days earlier-5.40%final price
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)five days earlier-9.80%final price
Nasdaq (NDAQ)that day-0.55%still updating
Nasdaq (NDAQ)three days earlier-2.85%final price
Nasdaq (NDAQ)five days earlier-3.96%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (IAI)

Companies carried with this story

  • IAI Ishares Tr

    In “Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results,” Ishares Tr (IAI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

  • CME Cme Group

    In “Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results,” Cme Group (CME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

  • ICE Intercontinental Exchange

    For “Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results,” Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

  • CBOE Cboe Global Markets

    In “Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results,” Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

  • NDAQ Nasdaq

    In “Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results,” Nasdaq (NDAQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

Ishares Tr (IAI)

“Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results” (3 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (IAI) through this story.

Ishares Tr (IAI) is on the page because iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

A second company, Cme Group (CME), is listed for a different reason: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “betting” (exchanges and trading) in this story

Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (IAI)

CME traded between 290.48 and 309.31 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 306.31. ICE traded between 151.24 and 172.32 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 172.28.

How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (IAI)

40 out of 100Price not final

“Options traders are betting heavily on these stocks ahead of election results” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.