Geopolitics Alpha

Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The Polish company cites QatarEnergy’s continuing force majeure, as Iran’s attacks on Ras Laffan and tanker traffic through Hormuz keep deliveries disrupted
  • Exposed: UNG, XLE, USO, BWET, EPOL
  • Market reaction: XLE +1.6% on the day (still updating); UNG +1.1% on the day (still updating); BWET +4.9% on the day (still updating)

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Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract

The Polish company cites QatarEnergy’s continuing force majeure, as Iran’s attacks on Ras Laffan and tanker traffic through Hormuz keep deliveries disrupted

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-13.5% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • EPOL iShares MSCI Poland ETF

    iShares MSCI Poland ETF holds stocks listed in Poland, which this story is about (“poland”).

  • QAT iShares MSCI Qatar ETF

    iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“qatari”).

  • LNG Cheniere Energy+9.1% 30d

    Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • EQT Eqt-0.9% 30d

    Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
UNG-10.81%-10.24%base+1.15%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.11%-0.95%base+1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+2.78%+4.95%base+2.37%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.67%+29.19%base+4.90%after closeafter closeafter close
EPOL+0.69%-2.17%base-0.77%after closeafter closeafter close
QAT-2.38%-1.87%base+0.00%after closeafter closeafter close
LNG-0.51%-5.27%base+2.39%after closeafter closeafter close
EQT+0.99%-5.04%base+1.73%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract Kurdistan24

Source: Kurdistan24

What happened to United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) the last 16 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news

In the last 16 similar stories, United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) moved an average of +1.54% the next day. The best was +1.54% and the worst was +1.54%, from 1 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)the next day+1.54%+1.54%+1.54%1
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days later+10.86%+10.86%+10.86%1
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-5.69%-5.58%-6.96%13
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-8.26%-7.07%-8.36%13
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-7.15%-6.32%-7.20%16
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-5.17%-4.86%-9.82%16
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-22.09%-19.70%-22.25%16
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-30.61%-30.61%-30.61%1

How far United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) has moved since 11 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day+4.90%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+29.19%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.67%final price
Ishares Tr (EPOL)that day-0.77%still updating
Ishares Tr (EPOL)three days earlier-2.17%final price
Ishares Tr (EPOL)five days earlier+0.69%final price
Eqt (EQT)that day+1.73%still updating
Eqt (EQT)three days earlier-5.04%final price
Eqt (EQT)five days earlier+0.99%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)that day+2.39%still updating
Cheniere Energy (LNG)three days earlier-5.27%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)five days earlier-0.51%final price
Ishares Tr (QAT)that day0.00%still updating
Ishares Tr (QAT)three days earlier-1.87%final price
Ishares Tr (QAT)five days earlier-2.38%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)that day+1.15%still updating
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-10.24%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-10.81%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+2.37%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+4.95%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+2.78%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.57%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.11%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 212 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 695 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who pays if Strait of Hormuz stays in the story

Companies mentioned with this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    For “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “lng” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “lng” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • EPOL Ishares Tr

    For “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” Ishares Tr (EPOL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Poland ETF holds stocks listed in Poland, which this story is about (“poland”)

  • QAT Ishares Tr

    For “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” Ishares Tr (QAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“qatari”)

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    In “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” Cheniere Energy (LNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    In “Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract,” Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) and the energy link

“Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract” (11 Nov 2026) reaches United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) through Strait of Hormuz.

For United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG), the reason on file says United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

The price range for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG), and the dates in the story

UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.34. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Poland’s Orlen Cancels A Qatari LNG Contract” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.