Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election
Published . Updated .
The company said it was looking into hundreds of new accounts that had placed wagers in two markets related to the election on Tuesday.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- IAI iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-1.2% 13d
iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets+23.9% 30d
Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CME CME Group+2.7% 9d
CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- HOOD Robinhood Markets-31.1% 30d
Robinhood Markets (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange+8.7% 30d
Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAI | -1.64% | -0.93% | base | -1.63% | after close | after close | after close |
| EIS | +0.96% | +5.11% | base | -3.09% | after close | after close | after close |
| CBOE | +8.40% | +3.59% | base | +6.86% | after close | after close | after close |
| CME | +3.14% | -0.99% | base | +2.28% | after close | after close | after close |
| HOOD | +3.82% | +3.33% | base | -7.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| ICE | -0.16% | -4.65% | base | +3.61% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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The company said it was looking into hundreds of new accounts that had placed wagers in two markets related to the election on Tuesday.
Source: The New York Times
Ishares Tr (IAI)
In the last 3 similar stories, Ishares Tr (IAI) moved an average of -0.71% the next day. The best was -0.71% and the worst was -0.71%, from 3 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | the next day | -0.71% | -0.71% | -0.71% | 3 |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | the next day | +4.53% | +4.53% | +4.53% | 2 |
| Cme Group (CME) | the next day | +3.10% | +3.10% | +3.10% | 3 |
The price since 29 Oct 2026: Ishares Tr (IAI) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | that day | +6.86% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | three days earlier | +3.59% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | five days earlier | +8.40% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | that day | +2.28% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | three days earlier | -0.99% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | five days earlier | +3.14% | final price |
| Ishares (EIS) | that day | -3.09% | final price |
| Ishares (EIS) | three days earlier | +5.11% | final price |
| Ishares (EIS) | five days earlier | +0.96% | final price |
| Robinhood Markets (HOOD) | that day | -7.18% | final price |
| Robinhood Markets (HOOD) | three days earlier | +3.33% | final price |
| Robinhood Markets (HOOD) | five days earlier | +3.82% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | that day | -1.63% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | three days earlier | -0.93% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | five days earlier | -1.64% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | that day | +3.61% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | three days earlier | -4.65% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | five days earlier | -0.16% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 17 Aug 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Cme Group (CME), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (IAI)
Companies tied to this story
- IAI Ishares Tr
In “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election,” Ishares Tr (IAI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- EIS Ishares
Ishares (EIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”)
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election.” Reason on file: Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CME Cme Group
Cme Group (CME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election.” Reason on file: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- HOOD Robinhood Markets
In “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election,” Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Robinhood Markets (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange
For “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election,” Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Ishares Tr (IAI)
The 29 Oct 2026 story “Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election” names Ishares Tr (IAI) because of this story.
What ties Ishares Tr (IAI) to the headline is this: iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “polymarket” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Ishares (EIS) is here too. Its reason reads: iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”)
The price range for Ishares Tr (IAI), and the dates in the story
CBOE traded between 267.17 and 342.84 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 335.51. EIS traded between 120.27 and 127.76 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 121.83.
What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (IAI)
46 out of 100
“Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.