Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics
Published . Updated .
Covered by 3 outlets: CME Group, Yahoo Finance, TradingView.
Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 2. How we rate outlets
This report is about US interest rates and gold.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3% 30d
SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “precious metals” (gold) in this story.
- PICK iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF-9.9% 30d
iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF: it holds metals and mining companies. Linked by “metals” (metals & mining) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton-4.1% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -2.31% | -1.35% | base | +0.66% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -1.06% | -0.90% | base | +0.21% | after close | after close | after close |
| GLDNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PICK | +5.65% | +4.69% | base | +0.53% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +0.58% | +1.08% | base | +1.28% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -0.32% | +0.51% | base | +1.09% | after close | after close | after close |
| DHI | -8.25% | -5.74% | base | +0.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics CME Group
Source: CME Group
The price since 26 Oct 2026: Ishares Tr (TLT) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | +1.09% | still updating |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +0.51% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -0.32% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | that day | +0.18% | still updating |
| Horton D R (DHI) | three days earlier | -5.74% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | five days earlier | -8.25% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.21% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.90% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | +1.28% | still updating |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +0.58% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK) | that day | +0.53% | still updating |
| Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK) | three days earlier | +4.69% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK) | five days earlier | +5.65% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | +0.66% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies carried with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
For “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- GLD Spdr Gold Trust
For “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “precious metals” (gold) in this story
- PICK Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining
In “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF: it holds metals and mining companies. Linked by “metals” (metals & mining) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
For “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics.” Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
For “Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
“Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics” (26 Oct 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TLT) through this story.
For Ishares Tr (TLT), the reason on file says iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story
GLD traded between 373.41 and 400.78 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TLT)
69 out of 100Price not final
“Precious Metals Buffeted By Higher Interest Rates, Deficits and Geopolitics” scores 69 out of 100. The score uses 4 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.