Preview: RBNZ set to lift OCR to 3% ahead of election as oil and weak kiwi fuel inflation
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and inflation and prices.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+2.7% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+5.6% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.8% 12d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+6.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+11.3% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+12.1% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+11.5% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | -1.59% | -3.42% | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | +0.30% | -1.52% | after close | after close |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | +0.41% | -1.21% | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.75% | -2.77% | base | -0.65% | -2.08% | after close | after close |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COP | -3.70% | -3.40% | base | +0.31% | -1.82% | after close | after close |
| COSTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Preview: RBNZ set to lift OCR to 3% ahead of election as oil and weak kiwi fuel inflation investingLive
Source: investingLive
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | that day | +0.31% | final price |
| COP | the next day | -1.82% | still updating |
| COP | three days earlier | -3.40% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -3.70% | final price |
| CVX | that day | -0.65% | final price |
| CVX | the next day | -2.08% | still updating |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.75% | final price |
| USO | that day | -1.59% | final price |
| USO | the next day | -3.42% | still updating |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| XLE | that day | +0.30% | final price |
| XLE | the next day | -1.52% | still updating |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XOM | that day | +0.41% | final price |
| XOM | the next day | -1.21% | still updating |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100Price not final
“Preview: RBNZ set to lift OCR to 3% ahead of election as oil and weak kiwi fuel inflation” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.