September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics
Published . Updated .
September 2026 PCE inflation rose to 3.6% headline and 3.1% core, both above the Fed's 2% target, while the personal savings rate slipped to 3.8%.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-4.0% 16d
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+11.3% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+9.9% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- PG The Procter & Gamble+8.3% 30d
The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- KO The Coca-Cola+4.2% 30d
The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-2.8% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIP | +0.07% | +0.04% | base | +0.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TLT | +0.89% | +0.83% | base | +0.69% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COST | +3.62% | +2.30% | base | +0.60% | after close | after close | after close |
| PGNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | -0.85% | -1.58% | base | +1.62% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics IndexBox
Source: IndexBox
Ishares Tr (TIP) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | that day | +0.60% | still updating |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | three days earlier | +2.30% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | five days earlier | +3.62% | final price |
| JPM | that day | +1.62% | still updating |
| JPM | three days earlier | -1.58% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -0.85% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | +0.18% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | +0.04% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.07% | final price |
| TLT | that day | +0.69% | still updating |
| TLT | three days earlier | +0.83% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Richard W. Allen sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 18 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 15 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Procter & Gamble (PG) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Procter & Gamble (PG) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern bought Coca Cola (KO) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Coca Cola (KO), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TIP)
Companies carried with this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- PG Procter & Gamble
In “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- KO Coca Cola
For “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics,” Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Ishares Tr (TIP)
Ishares Tr (TIP) is the company in “September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics,” the 29 Oct 2026 this story story.
Ishares Tr (TIP) is on the page because iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP), is listed for a different reason: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TIP)
TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. WMT traded between 103.39 and 122.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 118.86. XLP traded between 80.10 and 84.07 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TIP)
46 out of 100Price not final
“September 2026 PCE: Headline Inflation Hits 3.6%, Core at 3.1% - News and Statistics” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.