U.S. Inflation Not Getting (Much) Worse, or Better, but Consumers are Fine
Published . Updated .
Things are not quite as bad as some headlines imply, although also not great. Plus: inside the retail sales and inventory revisions!
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond-1.8%
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond-0.9%
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond-0.3%
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
- SPY SPDR S&P 500+1.6%
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-4.3%
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America-18.8%
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs-8.5%
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.9%
A fund of financial companies
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking-4.4%
Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -2.07% | -1.97% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.86% | -1.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SHY | -0.17% | -0.26% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SPY | -0.09% | +0.66% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +0.94% | -0.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +0.26% | -0.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GS | -1.19% | -0.72% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLF | -2.05% | -1.68% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| KRE | -3.51% | -2.40% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
U.S. Inflation Not Getting (Much) Worse, or Better, but Consumers are Fine The Overshoot
Source: The Overshoot
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | three days earlier | -0.84% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | +0.26% | final price |
| GS | three days earlier | -0.72% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | -1.19% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.86% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -0.37% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | +0.94% | final price |
| KRE | three days earlier | -2.40% | final price |
| KRE | five days earlier | -3.51% | final price |
| SHY | three days earlier | -0.26% | final price |
| SHY | five days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| SPY | three days earlier | +0.66% | final price |
| SPY | five days earlier | -0.09% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -1.97% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -2.07% | final price |
| XLF | three days earlier | -1.68% | final price |
| XLF | five days earlier | -2.05% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 3 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“U.S. Inflation Not Getting (Much) Worse, or Better, but Consumers are Fine” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.