Geopolitics Alpha

U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited

Published . Updated .

ENERGYU.S. Stock Futures Gain as OilRetreats; Big Tech Earnings andFed Meeting AwaitedGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and AI and big tech.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ-0.7% 16d

    Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “big tech” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.0% 11d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • MSFT Microsoft+3.7% 30d

    Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “big tech” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • GOOGL Alphabet-8.4% 30d

    Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “big tech” (AI and big tech) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-5.13%-5.78%base-2.94%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.19%-1.69%base-0.41%after closeafter closeafter close
QQQNo price data for this ticker———————
TLTNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.72%-2.80%base-0.51%after closeafter closeafter close
MSFTNo price data for this ticker———————
CVX-3.75%-2.77%base-0.81%after closeafter closeafter close
GOOGLNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited Barchart.com

Source: Barchart.com

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 26 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day-0.81%still updating
CVXthree days earlier-2.77%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-2.94%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-5.78%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-5.13%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.41%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-1.69%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.19%final price
XOMthat day-0.51%still updating
XOMthree days earlier-2.80%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.72%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited,” United States Oil Fund (USO) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: This fund moves with oil prices. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: A fund of energy companies. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: A fund of oil and gas producers. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

  • OIH Vaneck Vectors Etf

    Vaneck Vectors Etf (OIH) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited.” Reason on file: Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

No up or down call on file

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    In “U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Tracks Brent, the global crude benchmark. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 26 Oct 2026, “U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: This fund moves with oil prices. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: A fund of energy companies. Linked by “oil + futures” in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BNO traded between 58.70 and 71.28 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.98. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.55. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.72 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.32.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

40 out of 100Price not final

“U.S. Stock Futures Gain as Oil Retreats; Big Tech Earnings and Fed Meeting Awaited” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.