Geopolitics Alpha

U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAU.S. Treasury yields inch lower asinvestors look ahead to the Fed'srate decisionGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton-4.1% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-2.31%-1.35%base+0.43%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF-1.06%-0.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
JPM+0.58%+1.08%base+1.33%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC-0.32%+0.51%base+1.41%after closeafter closeafter close
DHINo price data for this ticker———————
SCHWNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision CNBC

Source: CNBC

Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TLT)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day+1.41%still updating
BACthree days earlier+0.51%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.32%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier-0.90%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-1.06%final price
JPMthat day+1.33%still updating
JPMthree days earlier+1.08%final price
JPMfive days earlier+0.58%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day+0.43%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier-1.35%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-2.31%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    For “U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Long-term bonds move when yields change. Linked by “treasury yield + fed” in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    In “U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Treasury bonds move when yields change. Linked by “treasury yield + fed” in this story

  • SHY Ishares Tr

    For “U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision,” Ishares Tr (SHY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates. Linked by “treasury yield + fed” in this story

  • SPY Spdr S&P 500 Etf Trust

    For “U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision,” Spdr S&P 500 Etf Trust (SPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path. Linked by “treasury yield + fed” in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

“U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision” (26 Oct 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TLT) through this story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: Long-term bonds move when yields change. Linked by “treasury yield + fed” in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): Treasury bonds move when yields change. Linked by “treasury yield + fed” in this story

Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)

IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. SHY traded between 80.96 and 81.44 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.08. SPY traded between 758.68 and 781.59 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 759.89.

How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TLT)

33 out of 100Price not final

“U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decision” scores 33 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 4 linked companies. The price is not final yet.