Geopolitics Alpha

UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, AMLP, BWET, UAE
  • Market reaction: USO −8.0% on the day; XLE −4.8% on the day; BWET −15.7% on the day

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ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZUAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipelineto Avoid HormuzGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and pipelines. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • AMLP Alerian MLP ETF-1.7% 30d

    Alerian MLP ETF: it holds pipeline operators. Linked by “pipeline” (pipelines) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • UAE iShares MSCI UAE ETF

    iShares MSCI UAE ETF holds stocks listed in the UAE, which this story is about (“uae”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-8.03%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%base-4.79%after closeafter closeafter close
AMLPNo price data for this ticker———————
BWET+7.18%+11.56%base-15.67%after closeafter closeafter close
UAE+1.46%-1.35%base+5.00%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%base-4.52%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+1.76%+4.58%base-3.71%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY+4.03%+5.88%base-5.14%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz Rigzone

Source: Rigzone

What happened to United States Oil Fund (USO) the last 17 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news

United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day, across 17 earlier stories: average +1.83%, largest gain +3.26%, largest drop +0.26%, from 17 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+1.83%+3.26%+0.26%17
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-3.36%+6.12%-5.11%15
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+1.26%+3.24%-1.69%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-1.16%+2.27%-2.57%13
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+4.05%+4.46%+0.48%15
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-1.54%+4.59%-6.70%15

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-15.67%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+11.56%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+7.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-3.71%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+4.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+1.76%final price
OXYthat day-5.14%final price
OXYthree days earlier+5.88%final price
OXYfive days earlier+4.03%final price
Ishares Tr (UAE)that day+5.00%final price
Ishares Tr (UAE)three days earlier-1.35%final price
Ishares Tr (UAE)five days earlier+1.46%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-8.03%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-4.52%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz” sits: Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 197 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 514 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • AMLP Alps Etf Tr

    Alps Etf Tr (AMLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz.” Reason on file: Alerian MLP ETF: it holds pipeline operators. Linked by “pipeline” (pipelines) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

How a Strait of Hormuz shock reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz” (4 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Strait of Hormuz.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

AMLP traded between 51.55 and 54.20 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 52.75. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100

“UAE Mulls 3rd Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Hormuz” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.