Geopolitics Alpha

UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, AMLP, BWET, UAE
  • Market reaction: XLE −3.7% on the day (still updating); USO −2.5% on the day (still updating); BWET −12.0% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZUAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipelineto Avoid Strait of HormuzGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and pipelines. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • AMLP Alerian MLP ETF-1.7% 30d

    Alerian MLP ETF: it holds pipeline operators. Linked by “pipeline” (pipelines) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • UAE iShares MSCI UAE ETF

    iShares MSCI UAE ETF holds stocks listed in the UAE, which this story is about (“uae”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.6% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-2.52%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%base-3.73%after closeafter closeafter close
AMLPNo price data for this ticker———————
BWET+7.18%+11.56%base-12.01%after closeafter closeafter close
UAE+1.46%-1.35%base+4.01%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%base-2.82%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+1.76%+4.58%base-2.69%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+3.21%+6.66%base-3.27%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved across the last 16 energy stories

Those 16 earlier stories put United States Oil Fund (USO) at an average move of +1.36% the next day. Largest gain +3.26%, largest drop +0.26%, from 16 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+1.36%+3.26%+0.26%16
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-0.82%+6.12%-4.19%15
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-0.09%+3.24%-1.69%16
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.27%+2.27%-1.42%15
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+2.59%+4.46%+0.48%13
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later+2.32%+4.59%-6.70%13

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-12.01%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+11.56%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+7.18%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-3.27%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+6.66%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+3.21%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-2.69%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+4.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+1.76%final price
Ishares Tr (UAE)that day+4.01%still updating
Ishares Tr (UAE)three days earlier-1.35%final price
Ishares Tr (UAE)five days earlier+1.46%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-2.52%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-3.73%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-2.82%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Strait of Hormuz on the map for this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 194 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 509 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who collects and who pays in energy

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • AMLP Alps Etf Tr

    For “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz,” Alps Etf Tr (AMLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Alerian MLP ETF: it holds pipeline operators. Linked by “pipeline” (pipelines) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 4 Nov 2026, “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Strait of Hormuz.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

AMLP traded between 51.55 and 54.20 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 52.75. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How solid “UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz” looks

46 out of 100Price not final

“UAE Mulls Third Crude Oil Pipeline to Avoid Strait of Hormuz” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.