Geopolitics Alpha

US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XLP, WMT, TIP, COST, PG
  • Market reaction: XLP +0.3% on the day (still updating); WMT +0.3% on the day (still updating); KO +0.9% on the day (still updating)

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAUS inflation figures increasechance of an interest rate riseGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.3% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-2.0% 10d

    Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+15.3% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • PG The Procter & Gamble+13.4% 30d

    The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • KO The Coca-Cola+10.5% 30d

    The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TIP+0.06%+0.20%base-0.82%after closeafter closeafter close
XLP-2.12%+0.44%base+0.35%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-0.64%+1.67%base+0.26%after closeafter closeafter close
COST-4.41%-0.01%base-0.12%after closeafter closeafter close
PG-3.76%-0.78%base+0.74%after closeafter closeafter close
KO-1.30%-0.28%base+0.89%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise The Times

Source: The Times

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day-0.12%still updating
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-0.01%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-4.41%final price
Coca Cola (KO)that day+0.89%still updating
Coca Cola (KO)three days earlier-0.28%final price
Coca Cola (KO)five days earlier-1.30%final price
Procter & Gamble (PG)that day+0.74%still updating
Procter & Gamble (PG)three days earlier-0.78%final price
Procter & Gamble (PG)five days earlier-3.76%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.82%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.06%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+0.26%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+1.67%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-0.64%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)that day+0.35%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)five days earlier-2.12%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)

Companies carried with this story

  • XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    For “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise.” Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • KO Coca Cola

    Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise.” Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)

The 10 Nov 2026 story “US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) because of this story.

The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is this: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

A second company, Walmart (WMT), is listed for a different reason: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) price range

TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. WMT traded between 108.59 and 130.92 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 129.23. XLP traded between 80.10 and 82.50 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)

46 out of 100Price not final

“US inflation figures increase chance of an interest rate rise” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.