Geopolitics Alpha

Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers

Published . Updated .

Latest 10-year yield, chart and Fed context: 10-year Treasury yield tracker →

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, TIP, JPM, BAC
  • Market reaction: TLT −1.4% on the day (still updating); IEF −0.8% on the day (still updating); DHI −4.1% on the day (still updating)

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAWatch Treasury Yields Jump asInflation Fuels Fed WagersGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates and inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.3% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+8.0% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-1.07%-0.05%base-1.35%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF-0.68%+0.21%base-0.82%after closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.06%+0.20%base-0.71%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM-1.14%-1.31%base-0.07%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC-1.83%-1.53%base-0.08%after closeafter closeafter close
DHI-6.68%+1.29%base-4.10%after closeafter closeafter close
SCHW-3.73%-0.15%base+0.40%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-0.64%+1.67%base-0.15%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

Ishares Tr (TLT) since “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day-0.08%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier-1.53%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier-1.83%final price
Horton D R (DHI)that day-4.10%still updating
Horton D R (DHI)three days earlier+1.29%final price
Horton D R (DHI)five days earlier-6.68%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day-0.82%still updating
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.21%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.68%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day-0.07%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-1.31%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.14%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)that day+0.40%still updating
Schwab Charles (SCHW)three days earlier-0.15%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)five days earlier-3.73%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.71%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.06%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-1.35%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier-0.05%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-1.07%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-0.15%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+1.67%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-0.64%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies carried with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    For “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    For “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • DHI Horton D R

    In “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • SCHW Schwab Charles

    In “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

How “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)

On 10 Nov 2026, “Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers” is the story that connects Ishares Tr (TLT) to this story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)

IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Watch Treasury Yields Jump as Inflation Fuels Fed Wagers” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.