Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in
Published . Updated .
Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton-4.1% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -2.31% | -1.35% | base | +0.66% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -1.06% | -0.90% | base | +0.21% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +0.58% | +1.08% | base | +1.28% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -0.32% | +0.51% | base | +1.09% | after close | after close | after close |
| DHINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
How far Ishares Tr (TLT) has moved since 26 Oct 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | +1.09% | still updating |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +0.51% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -0.32% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.21% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.90% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | +1.28% | still updating |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +0.58% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | +0.66% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies tied to this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Long-term bonds move when yields change. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
In “Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Treasury bonds move when yields change. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
- SHY Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (SHY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in.” Reason on file: Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
For “Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank profits move with lending and interest rates. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
In “Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank profits move with lending and interest rates. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
On 26 Oct 2026, “Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in” is the story that connects Ishares Tr (TLT) to this story.
What ties Ishares Tr (TLT) to the headline is this: Long-term bonds move when yields change. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: Treasury bonds move when yields change. Linked by “interest rate + fed” in this story
Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)
IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. SHY traded between 80.96 and 81.44 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)
40 out of 100Price not final
“Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.