Geopolitics Alpha

European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, UNG, BWET, VGK
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZEuropean gas slips further as 20%weekly Oil crash overwhelms freshHormuz threatsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and natural gas. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-16.0% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+15.71%+7.84%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UNG-1.02%-2.91%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+32.30%+28.62%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGK-2.35%-2.42%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.08%+6.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+6.66%+5.01%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
OXY+9.89%+5.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats Investing.com

Source: Investing.com

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 17 energy shocks

Across 17 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged +1.56%. The largest gain was +2.20% and the largest drop was +0.26%, from 17 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+1.56%+2.20%+0.26%17
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-4.24%+1.56%-5.11%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+1.47%+2.25%-1.69%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-1.66%+0.52%-2.57%11
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)the next day-4.56%-4.52%-4.67%4
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days later-4.70%-4.10%-6.49%4
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+3.98%+4.46%+0.48%16
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-3.41%+4.59%-6.70%16

The price since 5 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+28.62%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+32.30%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+5.01%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+6.66%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)three days earlier+5.90%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)five days earlier+9.89%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-2.91%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-1.02%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.84%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+15.71%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)three days earlier-2.42%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)five days earlier-2.35%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+5.85%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+8.14%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+6.08%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.08%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How busy Strait of Hormuz has been lately

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 203 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 527 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    In “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    For “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

From Strait of Hormuz to United States Oil Fund (USO)

“European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats” (5 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Strait of Hormuz.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.12. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“European gas slips further as 20% weekly Oil crash overwhelms fresh Hormuz threats” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.