Geopolitics Alpha

US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Full Post: "Here we go again!
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, EWW, CAT, DE
  • Market reaction: XRT −1.7% on the day; XLI −0.6% on the day; DE −1.8% on the day

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US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US

Full Post: "Here we go again! With the perceived loss by the Republicans in the Midterms - I WAS NOT ON THE BALLOT- the INVASION of our Country is taking place again. Huge CARAVANS are forming and beginning their illegal march through Mexico. Many of the people in these Caravans

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.4% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “invasion” (defense) in this story.

  • EWW iShares MSCI Mexico ETF+0.8% 6d

    iShares MSCI Mexico ETF holds stocks listed in Mexico, which this story is about (“mexico”).

  • CAT Caterpillar-27.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere+0.7% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+19.7% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+5.4% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-4.94%-1.22%base-0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-1.37%+0.47%base-1.72%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-7.07%-2.20%base-2.16%after closeafter closeafter close
EWW-2.12%-0.23%base-0.14%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT-8.01%-0.49%base+0.72%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-4.00%-0.02%base-1.79%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT+1.59%-0.08%base+0.18%after closeafter closeafter close
NKE+3.21%+4.04%base-1.59%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US Newsquawk

Source: Newsquawk

The price since 12 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+0.72%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.49%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier-8.01%final price
Deere (DE)that day-1.79%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier-0.02%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-4.00%final price
Ishares (EWW)that day-0.14%final price
Ishares (EWW)three days earlier-0.23%final price
Ishares (EWW)five days earlier-2.12%final price
ITAthat day-2.16%final price
ITAthree days earlier-2.20%final price
ITAfive days earlier-7.07%final price
Nike (NKE)that day-1.59%final price
Nike (NKE)three days earlier+4.04%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier+3.21%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+0.18%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-0.08%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+1.59%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-1.22%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-4.94%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day-1.72%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier+0.47%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-1.37%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    For “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • EWW Ishares

    Ishares (EWW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Mexico ETF holds stocks listed in Mexico, which this story is about (“mexico”)

  • CAT Caterpillar

    In “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    In “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

On 12 Nov 2026, “US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.

The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

EWW traded between 71.23 and 73.53 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 73.26. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“US President Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop Caravan's crossing into the US” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.